基于层次分析的武器系统发射阵地风险评估
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(1. 92493部队,辽宁葫芦岛 125001;2. 92214部队,浙江宁波 315826)

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E951.1

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Risk Evaluation of Weapon System Launching Position Based on AHP
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(1. The 92493rd Unit of PLA, Huludao Liaoning 125001, China;2. The 92214th Unit of PLA, Ningbo Zhejiang 315826, China)

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    摘要:

    为降低武器系统发射风险,针对发射阵地上的设施、装备、人员、组织、管理、阵地环境等多方面因素进行综合性风险性评估。提出了发射风险评估与处置的方法,介绍风险的识别与评价。在分析发射阵各类风险的基础上,按层次分析法对存在的风险进行规划分类,并对基层风险进行权重排序,根据比较历史记录估计相应风险发生 概率及危险程度值,并进行风险评估计算。

    Abstract:

    In order to reduce the risk of weapon system launching, the risk was evaluated comprehensively by analyzing ev.ery elements including the facilities, equipment, worker, organization, management and environment.The method of launch.ing risk of evaluation and management, and how to recognize and estimate was introduced. Based on analyzing every ele.ments of risk, the risks were classified and the basic risk right was ordered. At last, the corresponding value was evaluatesdby comparing past records and calculates.

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引用本文

慈旋,刘为,朱晨光.基于层次分析的武器系统发射阵地风险评估[J].海军航空大学学报,2015,30(3):296-300
CI Xuan, LIU Wei, ZHU Chenguang. Risk Evaluation of Weapon System Launching Position Based on AHP[J]. JOURNAL OF NAVAL AVIATION UNIVERSITY,2015,30(3):296-300

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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-03-20
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