基于系统动力学的反舰导弹饱和攻击模型

Anti-Ship Missile Saturation Attack Model Based on System Dynamics

摘要:

以舰载一体化反导武器和反舰导弹入射流为研究对象,分析了舰载反导武器拦截齐射反舰导弹的特点,建立了舰空导弹和火炮拦截反舰导弹入射流的排队服务规则、反导武器的状态转换条件和饱和攻击弹药消耗量计算方法；利用系统动力学方法推进对抗的演进,实现了舰载反导武器对反舰导弹的动态拦截。仿真得到了饱和攻击所需齐射反舰导弹数的概率分布,验证了以弹药消耗量为目标函数的最优齐射反舰导弹数是存在的假设,解决了缺乏饱和攻击定量计算问题,为高效实施饱和攻击奠定了基础。

Abstract:

For shipboard integrated anti-missile weapons and anti-ship missiles into the jet as the research object, theshipboard anti-missile intercept or volley the characteristics of the anti-ship missile was analyzed, the procession of airand artillery intercept anti-ship missiles into the jet queuing service rules, state transition condition of anti-missile weap.ons and the calculation method of saturation attack ammunition consumption were established. The method of system dy.namics was used to promote the evolution of confrontation, and the shipboard missile weapon dynamic interception of anti-ship missiles was implemented. Through simulation, the saturation attack volley the number of anti-ship missiles probabili.ty distribution was obtained, the ammunition consumption as the objective function of optimal volley anti-ship missilesnumber being real were verified, the problem of the lack of quantitative calculation of saturation attack was solved, and thefoundations was laid for the efficient implementation of saturation attack.